AOL vs. Netzero Analysis of letters from the chairmen

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Netzero (NZRO) and AOL Time Warner (AOL) both operate as Internet Service Providers (ISP). With vastly different business models both companies have arrived at a critical juncture in the life cycle of their respective organizations, merger. While many are aware that AOL and Time Warner have recently merged, far fewer have noticed the quiet union of Netzero and Juno.com. The results of these mergers at both companies have had greatly different results on each.

One simple barometer of how a company will deal with, and what it expects for the future can often be found in the letter from the chairman Very often these letters paint a best case scenario regarding future results. However, In the case of AOL and NetZero, at least for 00, the two companies could not be farther apart. Excerpts from both companys letters from the chairman follow.

Net Zero

Our commitment to growth, combined with our efficient operating structure, helped position United Online for its outstanding performance this quarter, highlighted by record organic pay subscriber growth and record profitability. We are very pleased with the progress we have made in building our consumer brands and carving out a powerful niche in the marketplace. As a company, we will continue to innovate and invest in opportunities that we believe will grow our business over the long term (NetZero, 00).

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NetZero seems confident that it can marshal both brand and products for continued growth throughout 00 and beyond. NetZero might experience even larger returns if the company expanded its current product offerings, and by continuing to locate merger and acquisition opportunities. Nonetheless, NetZero lacks the broad diversification of its business currently enjoyed by AOL. . Even so, AOL has been troubled since its merger.

AOL

Going forward, the Company's primary focus will be to compare 00's financial results to 00's reported financial results, without adjusting for certain items such as merger and restructuring related charges that were previously excluded for comparative purposes. As the impact of such items was to decrease 00's reported results and, in certain cases, such items are expected to continue to adversely impact 00 Free Cash Flow (AOL, 00).

Despite the gloomy prospects for 00 cited in the letter, AOL has many significant strengths. After all, AOL Time Warner is one of the worlds leading media and entertainment companies, whose businesses include interactive services, cable systems, filmed entertainment, television networks, music and publishing.

AOL could likely benefit by lowering the price of its (ISP) related services. A price reduction in this area might serve as a productive engine for garnering subscribers, and could help it stem the loss of existing subscribers to companies like NetZero who

As it stands today, Netzero expects a 45% increase in revenue for 00, while AOL is expecting its revenues to be flat. Additionally AOL has warned that it expects ad revenues to be down at all of its units including the ISP, but Netzero continues to realize significant gains in the same division. Lastly, Earnings Before Interest, Tax, Depreciation and Amortization (EBITDA) are expected to be up 06% at NetZero While AOL are expecting a flat rate or a reduction of 10% in the coming year. Thus it seems NetZero has the winning model, at least for the time being.

AOL. (00). Annual Report. Letter from the CEO.

http//www.aoltimewarner.com/investors/annual_report/00_1q/pdf/guidance.pdf

(00, May 1).

NetZero. (00) Investor Relations Annual Report 00.

http//www.irconnect.com/mc/secfilings.mc?cmd=disp&id=00480&type=HTML

(00, May 0).

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